
GCTW Publications
Please find a collection of GCTW Research Team publications listed below. Publications are organized by publication date and color-coded by research cluster. Hydro-Climate (Blue), Ecosystem and Water Quality Monitoring (Green), Indigenous-led Research (Purple), and Climate Ready Communities and Transboundary Governance (Yellow). To access previous articles published by GCTW researchers, please use the Publication Directory to navigate by year.
Collaborative Reports 2025
Climate change, water change and the critical role of community resilience in Open Access Government, co-authored by Dr. Gail Krantzberg, Dr Carolyn Johns, and Dr. Amanda Shankland.
Krantzberg, G., Johns, C., & Shankland, A. (2025). Climate change, water change and the critical role of community resilience. Open Access Government. https://doi.org/ https://doi.org/10.56367/OAG-045-11487
Research Team Publications 2025
Introducing time series features based dynamic weights estimation framework for hydrologic forecast merging in Journal of Hydrology co-authored by Dr. Paulin Coulibaly.
Md Rasel Sheikh, Paulin Coulibaly, Introducing time series features based dynamic weights estimation framework for hydrologic forecast merging, Journal of Hydrology, Volume 654, 2025, 132872, ISSN 0022-1694, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132872.
Hydrologic model calibration approaches for highly regulated river basin: A comprehensive assessment in Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, co-authored by Dr. Paulin Coulibaly.
Md Rasel Sheikh, Paulin Coulibaly, Hydrologic model calibration approaches for highly regulated river basin: A comprehensive assessment, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, Volume 58, 2025, 102198, ISSN 2214-5818, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102198.
Winter thermal structure across the Laurentian Great Lakes in Journal of Great Lakes Research, co-authored by Dr. Andrew Gronewold.
Jay A. Austin, Eric J. Anderson, Andrew D. Gronewold, Steven A. Ruberg, Craig A. Stow, Mathew G. Wells, Winter thermal structure across the Laurentian Great Lakes, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 2025, 102550, ISSN 0380-1330, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2025.102550.
Mapping Out How Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Will Change Great Lakes Observations, Modeling, and Forecasting in the Coming Decade in Bulleting of the American Meteorological Society, co-authored by Dr. Andrew Gronewold, Dr. Scott Steinschneider and Dr. Hazem Abdelhady.
Jones, D., and Coauthors, 2025: Mapping Out How Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Will Change Great Lakes Observations, Modeling, and Forecasting in the Coming Decade. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106, E378–E385, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0304.1.
Shoreline responses to rapid water level increases in Lake Michigan in Geomorphology, co-authored by Dr. Hazem Abdelhady.
Hazem U. Abdelhady, Cary D. Troy, Longhuan Zhu, Pengfei Xue, Guy Meadows, Chin H. Wu, Shoreline responses to rapid water level increases in Lake Michigan, Geomorphology, Volume 475, 2025, 109639, ISSN 0169-555X, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2025.109639.
Depth Matters: Lake Bathymetry Selection in Numerical Weather Prediction Systems in JGR Atmospheres, co-authored by Dr. Andrew Gronewold.
James Kessler, Eamon Esper, Alexander VanDeWeghe, Andrew D. Gronewold, Troy Sorensen, Bahram Khazaei, Eric James, Tatiana G. Smirnova, Matt Casali, David Yates, Nina Omani, John G. W. Kelley, Michael Barlage, Stanley G. Benjamin, Eric J. Anderson. Depth Matters: Lake Bathymetry Selection in Numerical Weather Prediction Systems. JGR Atmospheres, Volume 130, Issue 2. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041794
Blue and Green Water Scarcity in the McKenzie Creek Watershed of the Great Lakes Basin in Hydrological Processes, co-authored by Dr. Altaf Arain, Dr. Dawn Martin-Hill, and Tariq Deen.
Tariq A. Deen, M. Altaf Arain, Olivier Champagne, Patricia Chow-Fraser, Nighi Nagabhatla, Dawn Martin-Hill. Blue and Green Water Scarcity in the McKenzie Creek Watershed of the Great Lakes Basin. Hydrological Processes, Volume 39, Issue 1. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70038
Compound coastal flooding in San Francisco Bay under climate change in NPJ Natural Hazards, co-authored by Dr. Scott Steinschneider.
Wang, Z., Leung, M., Mukhopadhyay, S. et al. Compound coastal flooding in San Francisco Bay under climate change. npj Nat. Hazards 2, 3 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00057-0.

Measuring the Degree of ‘Fit’ Within Social-Ecological Systems to Support Local Flood Risk Decision-Making in Journal of Flood Risk Management, co-authored by Dr. Julia Baird.
Imogen Hobbs, Valentin Lucet, Jennifer M. Holzer, Julia Baird, Gordon M. Hickey. Measuring the Degree of ‘Fit’ Within Social-Ecological Systems to Support Local Flood Risk Decision-Making. Journal of Flood Risk Management, Volume 18, Issue 1. March, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70006
Finding mobility in place attachment research: lessons for managed retreat in Frontiers in Climate, co-authored by Dr. Julia Baird.
Willcocks-Musselman Robin , Baird Julia , Foster Karen , Woodhall-Melnik Julia , Sherren Kate. Finding mobility in place attachment research: lessons for managed retreat. Frontiers in Climate, 7, 2025, https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/climate/articles/10.3389/fclim.2025.1514408. 10.3389/fclim.2025.1514408. 624-9553.
Participatory scenario planning: A social learning approach to build systems thinking and trust for sustainable environmental governance in Environmental Science and Policy, co-authored by Dr. Julia Baird.
Elson Ian Nyl Ebreo Galang, Elena M. Bennett, Gordon M. Hickey, Julia Baird, Blane Harvey, Kate Sherren, Participatory scenario planning: A social learning approach to build systems thinking and trust for sustainable environmental governance, Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 164, 2025, 103997, ISSN 1462-9011, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2025.103997.
Co-imagining future scenarios can enhance environmental actors’ empathy toward future generations and non-human life-forms in Sustainability Science, co-authored by Dr. Julia Baird.
Elson Ian Nyl Ebreo Galang, Elena M. Bennet, Gordon Hickey, Julia Baird, Gillian Dale, Kate Sherren. Co-imagining future scenarios can enhance environmental actors’ empathy toward future generations and non-human life-forms. Sustainability Science. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-024-01607-1.
Resourcing Michigan’s coastal decision-makers: Assessing needs & opportunities in Journal of Great Lakes Research, co-authored by Dr. Richard Norton.
Mike Shriberg, Richard K. Norton, Silvia Newell, Kat Cameron, Abigail Merolle. Resourcing Michigan’s coastal decision-makers: Assessing needs & opportunities. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 102512, ISSN 0380-1330. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2025.102512.